Will a company by @barak raise $200k before the end of 2024?
50%
chance

I haven't met @barak, but I was following @AmmonLam's recent market

and was upset by the nakedly arbitrary resolution criteria:

I'm N/Aing this market and tempbanning @barak from Manifold for 72h. There's not a specific guideline for this, but my subjective call is that the effect of this market in feeding attention to Barak, and the controversy & mod headache around it, means it's worth taking this interim cooldown measure. If there's legitimate interest, I'd consider reopening this market in a few days' time.

I think Manifold should be a free market, with libertarian ideals! I've been following @SG and @jahooma from the sidelines from years, and respect their work. Why should some liberal EA pregnant man have a headache and presume to decide for us, for the traders, what we should bet on or not? Shouldn't we have the freedom to bet on whatever we want? Shouldn't @standard be unbanned?

Let's see what people think. Regardless, this market has the exact same resolution criteria that that one does with one modification -- if Barak is rich and stupid and insane enough to invest his own money into @Manifold ... err I meant, into @standard ... err actually, I meant, into his own company ... then that money should count towards the $200k USD referenced in the resolution criteria.

manifest.is Thanks for your thethe.agency!

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