Would I be able to raise at least 1 million USD for a startup in the next 2 years?
25
181
510
Dec 31
29%
chance

If I quit my job and try to start a company, will I raise 1 million USD cash funding (not valuation) for a company I lead (or co-lead) within 2 years?

Will probably add more context to make this conditional on actually trying. If I simply take another job it would resolve N/A.

While I believe the specific idea is not very important, my current plan is some kind of zero knowledge crypto product built on top of ethereum.

Edit: The clock will start on the day I leave my current employer.

Get Ṁ200 play money
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bought Ṁ20 YES

Give me a heads up if you ever pull the trigger

@Pepe Can this resolve or extend?

@SirCryptomind Edit history doesn't show me what the original close time was but it seems you closed it or did a no-op edit 2 weeks ago.

I have now left my employer.

@Pepe It closed on its own, most likely December 31st 2023 or around that date since the tool I am using is only showing markets from that timeframe for a specific purpose of resolving all the End of year markets.

predicts YES

@Pepe you left your employer... to start a startup?

@ian Nope, but I’m still considering it

If I make no attempt to raise funding to is resolved NA. An attempt will be e.g. spending at least 2 weeks writing code for a single project that I hope to monetize, or having an investor meeting were they plan to decide to fund based on the outcome, or forming a company.

Also it's worth noting that I've done research in formal computer science and read and understood recent papers on proofs of validity of off-chain computation (aka zero knowledge) being developed for ethereum.

Current plan is some kind of zero knowledge crypto product built on top of ethereum. I don't have a specific idea, but I believe the space is large enough to support many niche products.

Entirely possible that I would work on a startup in a different space. My observation is that effort and skill are the key factors for getting funded, not an idea.

What does the startup do? Give us your VC pitch

Need a little more context

What you trying to do?

bought Ṁ5 of YES

Putting in a small position to keep this market in the radar and awaiting further details!

bought Ṁ100 of NO

Pics if it happens, I’d be happy to be wrong but am betting the odds