Will Google's free LLM perform better than ChatGPT by the end of the year?
11
55
230
resolved Dec 31
Resolved as
50%

Resolves YES if many news articles describe how OpenAI is lagging behind Google, even if they were doing better in the beginning, and in the public sentiment it is fairly clear that people prefer Google's free LLM over ChatGPT.

Resolves 50% if it is not quite so clear what public sentiment is, and there are news articles going both ways.

Resolves NO if many news articles still describe how Google is lagging behind OpenAI, and in the public sentiment it is fairly clear that people prefer ChatGPT over Google's free LLM.

I specifically mean lagging behind in performance, not necessarily number of users, so if Google has more users because they have a monopoly on search, but consesus is that OpenAI's LLM is better, this still resovles as NO.

I will not bet in this market. For edge cases I will defer to the comments. Resolves N/A if Google or Open AI no longer has a free LLM on January 1, 2024.

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Probably going to resolve 50% @traders

A free Google LLM vs the free version of ChatGPT? Or free Google LLM vs ChatGPT with GPT-4 (requiring a paid ChatGPT plus subscription)?

sold Ṁ6 of YES

@chrisjbillington Free vs free