Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?

22

Ṁ1kṀ1.6k

Dec 25

13%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

GPT-4's benchmark results as of its release in march 2023.

Market context

Technical AI Timelines

GPT-4 speculation

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

predictedYES

https://twitter.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/1736827830971867312

People are also trading

When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?

Related questions

When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy