The United States has a history of government shutdowns. The last US government shutdown was between Dec 2018 and Jan 2019.

For the purposes of this question, a "government shutdown" must involve furloughing of workers. For example, the brief shutdown on 9 Feb 2018 lasted only a few hours and did not furlough government workers, and so would not count.

This question resolves YES if a government shutdown involving furloughed workers happens on or between 1 Jan 2025 and 31 Dec 2025, and otherwise resolves NO when the year ends (midnight EST).

Update: A shutdown must begin in 2025 to count for this market. A shutdown that begins in 2024 and continues into 2025 will not count.