Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2026?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ992027
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question: "How would you rate the condition of the national economy right now?"
If polled Americans' ratings of the economy according to Civiqs are net positive (i.e. 1% or higher) for any amount of time in 2026, this question resolves YES, otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2027.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US fake GDP statistics by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
1% chance
WIll the United States Economy avoid a recession by 2029?
50% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
22% chance
Will US Real GDP accelerate dramatically over 2023-2026?
15% chance
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
24% chance
Will the US experience a recession during 2026?
21% chance
Will US GDP growth be greater than 10% in 2029?
18% chance
Will the US experience a recession during 2027?
8% chance