Will more Americans support the Black Lives Matter movement than oppose it before the end of 2025?
Basic
2
แน252026
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question: "Do you support or oppose the Black Lives Matter movement?"
If support for Black Lives Matter, according to Civiqs polling, is net positive (i.e. 1% or higher) for any amount of time before the end of 2025, this question resolves YES. Otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an anti-Trump protest march with at least 1m reported total participants in the US before 1st June 2025?
3% chance
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2025?
61% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
17% chance
Will the BLM movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
16% chance
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2030?
56% chance
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
24% chance
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
38% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2025 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
58% chance
Will more Americans support abolishing the Electoral College after the 2024 election?
67% chance
Will Black vote for Trump increase significantly from 2020 to 2024?
24% chance