MANIFOLD
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
26
Ṁ1kṀ3.9k
2030
11%
chance

Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.

For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C.

This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 2.00 degrees Celsius for any year before 2030 (i.e. 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, or 2029).

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