Will a quarter of Americans be generally unhappy before 2030?
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10
316
2030
48%
chance

This question resolves YES if 25% or more of respondents in any General Social Survey (GSS) before 2030 (i.e. 2023-2029) report "not too happy" as their answer to the GSS' question on general happiness:

Taken all together, how would you say things are these days--would you say that you are very happy, pretty happy, or not too happy?


Polling by the GSS on this question began in 1972 and remained relatively until 2021 which reported the highest ever figure for "not too happy" of 24%. This figure declined to 20% in 2022, a still historically high level of unhappiness.

The happiness polling can be viewed with the GSS data explorer under "Life Satisfaction," "General happiness."

Will GSS polling show 25% or more of Americans as "not too happy" in any year before 2030?

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I'm surprised this is still as high as it is. My best guess would be that 2021 was a COVID anomaly and that the numbers will return to the 10-14% range unless there's a black swan.