Market Description:
Resolution criteria:
Resolves to the first person whose net worth reaches $1,000,000,000,000 USD (one trillion US dollars) as reported by Bloomberg Billionaires Index OR Forbes Real-Time Billionaires.
Rules:
Net worth must be publicly reported by at least one of the above sources
Intraday spikes count (no minimum holding period)
Nominal USD — no inflation adjustment
If sources disagree on timing, earliest confirmed report wins
"Other" resolves YES if first trillionaire is not listed among the options
Current candidates (Dec 2025 estimates):
Elon Musk: ~$400-450B (SpaceX, Tesla, xAI)
Jeff Bezos: ~$230B (Amazon, Blue Origin)
Mark Zuckerberg: ~$200B (Meta)
Bernard Arnault: ~$180B (LVMH)
Jensen Huang: ~$120B (Nvidia)
Larry Ellison: ~$150B (Oracle)
Notes:
Saudi/Chinese wealth often unreported — could trigger "Other"
SpaceX IPO is major catalyst for Musk
No expiration date — resolves whenever first trillionaire confirmed