Will a COVID-19 variant cause intermittent lockdowns in the United States by March 2024? | Manifold

Will a COVID-19 variant cause intermittent lockdowns in the United States by March 2024?

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22

Ṁ3414

resolved Mar 2

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This resolves YES upon reputable news reports of Covid-19 prevention lockdowns in more than one US municipality. "Lockdowns" may include school closures, business closures, or the closures of government buildings across an administrative region (county, municipality, or school district), provided the administrative region has a population of more than 10,000 (for school districts the population of the district is counted, not the population of students). This market resolves NO if no evidence is submitted in the comments by March 1, 2024.

Due to the ambiguity in what constitutes a lockdown, I will not trade in this market.

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

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I want to post evidence of No but I can't find any. I tried asking search engines if there were any lockdowns between August and now, but didn't find any reports.

@Eliza Absent evidence of YES, I plan to resolve NO.

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 2% order

@brp still on track for a NO :)

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