During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?
11
334
2028
8%
chance
This question resolves to yes if there's a zero covid policy lockdown in a major Chinese city that is comparable to Shanghai's 2022 lockdown due to pandemic. Although it'll require judgement, a comparable one would have a complete ban in going out of home, major industries (semiconductor, electrical vehicles, smartphones...) closing, vídeos of police officers arresting people who ty to leave home, travel bans. The question nonetheless resolves to yes if they lockdown due to other disease.
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https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-xi-jinping-plans-to-meet-with-biden-in-first-foreign-trip-in-nearly-three-years-11660318437?mod=hp_lead_pos11

"Some Chinese officials and foreign policy experts say Mr. Xi’s first international trip could signal the beginning of a relaxation of China’s pandemic controls to allow the resumption of business trips across international borders at a time when the country’s economic growth is slowing."