Each option resolves YES iff Trump golfs on the relevant day. The primary resolution source is:
https://didtrumpgolftoday.com/
Note that the site often takes time to update. In the event that the site fails to update or is taken down, the secondary resolution source is Trump's Rollcall calendar: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/
Update 2025-12-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution timing clarification: The market will wait for didtrumpgolftoday.com to update before resolving. Rollcall will only be used as a secondary source if it becomes clear that didtrumpgolftoday.com is not updating or has been abandoned (which may take a few days/weeks to determine, as the site is manually updated).
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@brod I suspect I know the answer, but if the secondary rez source is used, you will consider Trump visiting the golf course for less than an hour after dark as him "playing golf" on December 28th?
20 dec 25: 9:44 AM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
4:19 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
21 dec 25:
9:37 AM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
4:57 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
22 dec 25:
10:15 AM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
3:08 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
23 dec 25:
9:19 AM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
1:36 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
24 dec 25:
9:31 AM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
2:23 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
26 dec 25:
9:22 AM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
3:26 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
27 dec 25:
9:21 AM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
3:43 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
28 dec 25: too short
6:23 PM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
7:15 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
30 dec 25:
9:21 AM
The President arrives at Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
2:46 PM
The President departs Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach for Mar-a-Lago
Trump International Golf Club West Palm Beach
@adonisds I think there is a substantial chance that the red text at the top of the resolution source will be used to not count these two days in particular.
@Jasonb didtrumpgolftoday.com is main source, we will wait to see if it updates then go off that. will only use rollcall it its clear the site is not updating/abandoned ( might take a few days/weeks, i think didtrumpgolftoday.com is just manually updated by its owner)
@brod The press corps twitter that is the upstream source has a golf course visit start, followed by a golf course exit, followed by explicitly saying no one in the corps has spotted him thus far that day. It's an unusual detail that is exactly the kind of thing the downstream website is looking for to negate days, short of hard evidence from that day surfacing.