Trump golfs on >25% of days in 2026?

1kṀ5692

Dec 31

53%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES iff the proportion number of days that Trump golfs, from January 1st, 2026 to December 31st, 2026 inclusive, is strictly greater than 25% (92 days or more) according to:

didtrumpgolftoday.com

Will wait to resolve until the first entry for 2027 appears on the site. If the site is abandoned or taken down, will resolve NA.

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opened a Ṁ113 NO at 83% order

It appears the reporting includes all of Trump’s time at the golf club, except for one day when he was there for only 30 minutes.

In such case, 25% is the easy target - with 90% certainty

filled a Ṁ30 NO at 47% order

This has some implicit death market tones to it.

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