If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many unemployed persons per job opening will the US have a year later?
Basic
1
Ṁ70Mar 31
8%
Less than 0.5
16%
0.6-0.7
16%
0.8-0.9
20%
1.0-1.2
20%
1.3-1.5
20%
More than 1.5
Resolves according to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey conducted by the US government every month. January 2025's figures will be used.
If Trump doesn't become President, this market resolves N/A.
As of November 2023, there were 0.7 unemployed persons per job opening.
The survey results tend to be released one or two months after the month ends, so I have set the closing date at the end of March. When we know the release date, this market's close date will be updated to close a day earlier.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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