If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
Plus
8
Ṁ14572029
3%
-1 - 0%
4%
0-1%
8%
1-2%
36%
2-3%
26%
3-4%
10%
4-5%
5%
5-6%
4%
6-7%
5%
Richard Hanania has wrote a blog post claiming that he hates modern conservativism but wants Trump to win on the grounds of economic growth. Jeremiah Johnson is skeptical:
This sounds like uncertainty over a future observable!
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, this will resolve by the annualised real GDP growth rate for the United States in the years 2025-2028, as given by the World Bank. Otherwise, this will resolve N/A.
Corresponding question for Harris:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
40% chance
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?
38% chance
Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will the US see 3% or higher GDP growth in 2025?
58% chance
If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will the US see 1.5% or lower GDP growth in 2025?
29% chance
What will be true of Donald Trump in 2024?
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
25% chance
If Trumps wins in 2024, will US GDP be over $30 trillion on 1 Jan 2028?
84% chance
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
45% chance