How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide? (Compressed range)
10
200Ṁ6552026
218,966 copies
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
11%
Below 50,000
21%
50,000 - 99,999
27%
100,000 - 199,999
17%
200,000 - 299,999
7%
300,000 - 399,999
5%
400,000 - 499,999
12%
500,000+
"If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"
Resolution based on this other market. This market resolves exactly the same way, except with more granular buckets.
NYT bestseller question: https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-yudkowsky-and-soares-book-get#
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@bohaska from what date (ebook? first print?)? The original market is ambiguous not only about this but about whether "first year" means first 365 days or first calendar year (2025). That's why I'm asking; I read the title...
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