How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide? (Compressed range)
15
200Ṁ931
2026
129,785 copies
expected
59%
Below 50,000
15%
50,000 - 99,999
5%
100,000 - 199,999
5%
200,000 - 299,999
4%
300,000 - 399,999
1.9%
400,000 - 499,999
10%
500,000+

"If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"

Resolution based on this other market. This market resolves exactly the same way, except with more granular buckets.

NYT bestseller question: https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-yudkowsky-and-soares-book-get#

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