How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide? (Compressed range)
15
200Ṁ9312026
129,785 copies
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
59%
Below 50,000
15%
50,000 - 99,999
5%
100,000 - 199,999
5%
200,000 - 299,999
4%
300,000 - 399,999
1.9%
400,000 - 499,999
10%
500,000+
"If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"
Resolution based on this other market. This market resolves exactly the same way, except with more granular buckets.
NYT bestseller question: https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-yudkowsky-and-soares-book-get#
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
67% chance
How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide?
400k
How many pre-orders will Yudkowsky and Soares' book receive?
13,808
How many pre-orders will Yudkowsky and Soares' book receive? (Threshold)
17,283
Who will endorse Yudkowsky and Soares' book?
Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book be a NYT bestseller in 2025? under various conditions