Joe Biden's Presidential Memoir: How many copies will be sold in the first year?
6
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k2027
14%
0-500k
10%
500k-1M
18%
1M-1.5M
15%
1.5M-2M
12%
2M-2.5M
8%
2.5M-3M
5%
3M-3.5M
5%
3.5M-4M
13%
Market resolves to the total number of U.S. units sold (print + e‑book + audio if publisher reports; otherwise NPD BookScan print only) in the first 365 days after the memoir’s official on‑sale date.
Resolution source hierarchy:
1. Hachette (publisher) press release or SEC filing.
2. Credible mainstream outlet quoting publisher figures.
3. Credible mainstream outlet quoting NPD BookScan.
If no figure is publicly available by [on‑sale + 18 months], market resolves N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
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