
Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned as World Chess Champion before 2026?
18
Ṁ390Ṁ748resolved Apr 13
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES = He doesn't win the world chess championship in 2023, 2024, or 2025
NO = He wins all three
Close date updated to 2025-12-31 5:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ14 | |
| 2 | Ṁ10 | |
| 3 | Ṁ10 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ9 |
Sort by:
@blake what if he doesn't play in any of them? I guess he wouldn't technically "lose" but he would still be "dethroned"
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?
8% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?
7% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2026?
87% chance
Will anyone top Magnus Carlsen's peak ELO of 2882 by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?
11% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen, the world chess #1 since 2011, be ranked #1 in 2029.1.1?
24% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen compete in a Candidate's tournament before 2029?
15% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2027?
62% chance
Who will be World Chess Champion at the end of the 2020s?
Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?