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MANIFOLD
Will Tesla announce on October 15, 2026 that the new Roadster can accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in under 1 second?
2
Ṁ1kṀ80
Oct 17
46%
chance

Resolves YES if, on October 15, 2026 Tesla officially states that the new Roadster can accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in less than 1 second.

A statement during Tesla's presentation or on its official website or social media counts. Tweets from Tesla's official X account also count. Elon Musk's statements during the official Tesla presentation, as well as tweets from his official X account, also count.

An announced specification is sufficient; an actual demonstration or independent verification is not required. Optional packages, including thrusters, count.

Exactly 1.0 seconds does not count. Neither does a statement merely expressing a goal or ambition to achieve this performance.

Resolves NO if no qualifying announcement occurs on that date, including if the event is postponed or cancelled.

Clarifications

  • The intent of this market is whether Tesla officially announces a 0-60 mph time strictly below 1.0 second. Any special conditions or modifications count, including a specially prepared road surface, optional equipment, thrusters, rollout subtraction, or any other performance-enhancing setup. An official statement that the car can achieve this time is sufficient for YES; an actual demonstration is not required.

  • While the time zone of Tesla's headquarters would be a natural choice for October 15, 2026, this market allows any time zone on Earth. A qualifying announcement counts if it is October 15, 2026 anywhere on Earth at the time of the announcement. This gives Tesla a slightly wider window. The qualifying window runs from 2026-10-14T10:00:00Z (inclusive) to 2026-10-16T12:00:00Z (exclusive).

  • This market will resolve YES shortly after the conditions are met.

  • If no qualifying announcement occurs, this market will resolve NO on October 16, 2026, after 2026-10-16T12:00:00Z

Context

On September 12, 2026, Tesla initially announced the Roadster event for October 1, 2026: https://x.com/Tesla/status/2098843535730725124

On September 28, 2026, Tesla then postponed the event to October 15, 2026 due to predicted severe weather: https://x.com/Tesla/status/2104647484169728442

In February 2024, Elon Musk said: "0-60mph < 1 sec": https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1762718427775410295

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