Will a production car achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second in 2025 or earlier?
Will a production car achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second in 2025 or earlier?
5
160Ṁ7412026
8%
chance
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For the resolution I will use the data from wikipedia page https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fastest_production_cars_by_acceleration
I will resolve this market as YES if in the table ""By 0–60 mph (97 km/h) (less than 3.0 s)" there is a record that has Model Year <= 2025 and the Time < 1 second (exactly less, if it is 1.000 second this will not count)
I will resolve this market as YES shortly after the event occurs (but I will also check some other sources to be sure that the wikipedia page is correct)
I will resolve this market as NO in the middle of January of 2026 if there is no such record on wikipedia page.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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