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MANIFOLD
Will Tesla announce on October 1, 2026 that the new Roadster can accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in under 1 second?
2
Ṁ1kṀ254
Oct 3
48%
chance

Resolves YES if, on October 1, 2026 Tesla officially states that the new Roadster can accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in less than 1 second.

A statement during Tesla's presentation or on its official website or social media counts. Tweets from Tesla's official X account also count. Elon Musk's statements during the official Tesla presentation, as well as tweets from his official X account, also count.

An announced specification is sufficient; an actual demonstration or independent verification is not required. Optional packages, including thrusters, count.

Exactly 1.0 seconds does not count. Neither does a statement merely expressing a goal or ambition to achieve this performance.

Resolves NO if no qualifying announcement occurs on that date, including if the event is postponed or cancelled.

Clarifications

  • The intent of this market is whether Tesla officially announces a 0-60 mph time strictly below 1.0 second. Any special conditions or modifications count, including a specially prepared road surface, optional equipment, thrusters, rollout subtraction, or any other performance-enhancing setup. An official statement that the car can achieve this time is sufficient for YES; an actual demonstration is not required.

  • While the time zone of Tesla's headquarters would be a natural choice for October 1, 2026, this market allows any time zone on Earth. A qualifying announcement counts if it is October 1, 2026 anywhere on Earth at the time of the announcement. This gives Tesla a slightly wider window.

  • This market will resolve YES shortly after the conditions are met.

  • If no qualifying announcement occurs, this market will resolve NO on October 2, 2026

Context

Recent tweet announcing event on 10.01: https://x.com/Tesla/status/2098843535730725124

In February 2024, Elon Musk said: "0-60mph < 1 sec": https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1762718427775410295

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