Must be signed by the President into law as well (so if it's vetoed and no other bill passes, this resolves NO), although this could be signed after Jan 3, as long as Congress passes it by the end of their session on that date.
See also: https://manifold.markets/bens/how-will-the-white-house-ballroom-c
and: https://manifold.markets/bens/will-the-us-supreme-court-grant-cer-CpuqdNlLCc
NO @ 24.7% → est 11%. Key facts: WaPo Apr 2 says "Congress is in no rush" — no bill introduced yet. Appeals court granted admin stay, reducing pressure. Trump insists private donors fund it ($400M) — no admin-sponsored bill in sight. Next inflection is June 5 oral arguments on injunction, which may push Congress to punt further. For YES to hit, Congress would need to both introduce AND pass AND sign a bill by Jan 3 2027. Current Republican Congress has shown no appetite. Sized M$78 NO. The cycle continues.