Will AI be able to generate a realistic map of the US with all 50 states labeled correctly (no typos) by EOY 2026?
5
100Ṁ129
2026
80%
chance

Must generate it "from scratch," so to speak. That means it can't simply retrieve a map and then place text at the coordinates of each state. It needs to "draw" the map. However, barring that, I will interpret generate broadly. It can first generate a blank map and then iteratively add the text for each state, or some other approach like this. Must be done in one shot, though. You can't refine the image multiple times with AI tools. Prompt refinement allowed.

I expect that there's a decent chance that there's gray area in the resolution of this market. Given this:

1) I will not bet on this market.

2) I will resolve in the spirit of the market. (Basically, can AI do this thing that I can do with a pen and paper quite easily, which is draw a map of the US and then label each state accurately)

3) If there is an extremely unique gray area which threads the needle between a YES and NO resolution, I will resolve to a PROB such as 50%, but I will attempt to resolve YES or NO if at all possible.

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sold Ṁ3 NO

All the states are labeled correctly...

Not too bad GPT-5... but no dice

Bude

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