If Jasmine Crockett is the Democratic nominee, will she win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Manifold

If Jasmine Crockett is the Democratic nominee, will she win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

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resolved Mar 4

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Exactly what it sounds like.

N/A if Crockett loses the Dem nomination.

See this market for Talarico: https://manifold.markets/bens/if-james-talarico-wins-the-texas-se

Market context

2026 US Congressional Elections

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Can we close this one out?

This is a tough one because Paxton is a really bad candidate.

Thanks for making these

@LoganTurner so true lol, I duplicated the Talarico market

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Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)

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