Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
If Jasmine Crockett is the Democratic nominee, will she win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
15
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
N/A

Exactly what it sounds like.

N/A if Crockett loses the Dem nomination.

See this market for Talarico: https://manifold.markets/bens/if-james-talarico-wins-the-texas-se

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Elections
2026 US Congressional Elections
Texas
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

Can we close this one out?

This is a tough one because Paxton is a really bad candidate.

Thanks for making these

@LoganTurner so true lol, I duplicated the Talarico market

People are also trading

Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?
If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
+6% 1d53% chance
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
53% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
48% chance
Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?
+13% 1d60% chance
Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)
Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?
Democrats win Texas, Michigan, Alaska and Maine for Senate in 2026?
33% chance