If Jasmine Crockett is the Democratic nominee, will she win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Manifold

If Jasmine Crockett is the Democratic nominee, will she win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

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resolved Mar 4

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Exactly what it sounds like.

N/A if Crockett loses the Dem nomination.

See this market for Talarico: https://manifold.markets/bens/if-james-talarico-wins-the-texas-se

Market context

2026 US Congressional Elections

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Can we close this one out?

This is a tough one because Paxton is a really bad candidate.

Thanks for making these

@LoganTurner so true lol, I duplicated the Talarico market

People are also trading

Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?

If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?

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Which of the following things happen in relation to the Texas Senate Election in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

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If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

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Related questions

Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?

If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?

If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Which of the following things happen in relation to the Texas Senate Election in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)

Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?

If James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?