Will the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?
9
1kṀ10622028
76%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I think this is a good measure of how much influence Trump/MAGA will have on the future of the Republican party. Will Trump endorse a candidate for the primaries who goes on to win the primary and become the 2028 Republican presidential candidate?
Some potential resolution cases:
Trump does not endorse a candidate: N/A
Trump runs himself and wins: Yes
Trump endorses a third party candidate who becomes a serious candidate but does not win the Republican primary: No
Trump endorses a Republican candidate who loses: No
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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