Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries?
118
10kṀ13k
2028
72%
J. D. Vance
48%
Nikki Haley
33%
Ron DeSantis
28%
Glenn Youngkin
26%
Marco Rubio
15%
Vivek Ramaswamy
14%
Elise Stefanik
12%
Mike Pompeo
12%
Dan Crenshaw
12%
Brian Kemp
12%
Chris Christie
12%
Kristi Noem
12%
Katie Britt
12%
Mike Johnson
12%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%
Josh Hawley
12%
Kim Reynolds
12%
Tom Cotton
12%
Doug Burgum
12%
Chris Sununu

An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries. Otherwise the answer will resolve NO once all contests are over.

The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.

Nominating contests in places which are not states will not count for the purposes of this market (e.g. Washington D.C., American Samoa, etc.).

If there is a caucus in a state instead of a primary, or if there is more than one nominating contest (e.g. if there is a primary and a caucus) then nothing changes - the important factor is who wins the most delegates in that state.

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