If Nikki Haley wins the Republican nomination, is it because Trump died or was otherwise disqualified?

33

1kṀ2360

resolved Jul 17

Resolved as

92%

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If Nikki Haley wins the Republican nomination, is it because Trump died or was otherwise disqualified?

Otherwise resolves PROB.

Republican Party

2024 US Presidential Election

Trump indictment(s)

2024 Republican Primaries

Trump disqualified from running

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Wait, hold on, how did we resolve this to 92%? I'm genuinely confused.

"Otherwise resolves PROB." (Instead of N/A)

Could do something similar for Biden.

If the Democratic nominee is not Joe Biden is it because

health reasons
political reasons

@ChinmayTheMathGuy Great idea, thanks!

@ChinmayTheMathGuy https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-joe-biden-isnt-the-presidential?r=QmVuamFtaW5Ja3V0YQ

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