Which models will GPT-4o mini match or beat on Chatbot Arena?
21
1kṀ8688resolved Jul 24
Resolved
YESClaude 3.5 Sonnet
Resolved
YESGPT-4o-2024-05-13
Resolved
YESClaude 3 Opus
Resolved
YESGemini-Advanced-0514
Resolved
YESGPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09
Resolved
YESGPT-4-1106-preview
This market resolves all options upon the first update of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard that includes GPT-4o mini.
A given option will resolve YES if GPT-4o mini's rank (column 1) matches or beats it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,634 | |
| 2 | Ṁ133 | |
| 3 | Ṁ20 | |
| 4 | Ṁ14 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |
Sort by:
The leaderboard now includes GPT-4o-mini-2024-07-18, and it is tied for #1 rank: https://leaderboard.lmsys.org/
People are also trading
Related questions
Which company has best AI model end of April? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025?
87% chance
Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?
7% chance
What will be GPT-5's score on LMSYS Chatbot Arena?
Will GPT-5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?
78% chance
Will any Google model exceed chatGPT interest? (by 2025)
8% chance