bcongdon avatar
closed Nov 2
Will there be a COVID-19 related story on the front page of the NYTimes in the week of December 1-8, 2022?
84%
chance
This resolves "YES" if any of the NYTimes front pages from Dec 1-8 in 2022 has an article about COVID. The article has to be primarily COVID/pandemic related, or directly reference the pandemic in the headline or first paragraph. Source: https://www.nytimes.com/section/todayspaper Close date updated to 2022-11-01 11:59 pm
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noumena avatar
Rachel Shu
is predicting YES at 66%
This can resolve YES if the headline is some sort of retrospective on COVID
bcongdon avatar
Ben
is predicting YES at 54%
I'll resolve using the front page of the print edition, as found at https://www.nytimes.com/section/todayspaper
MichaelWheatley avatar
Michael Wheatley
is predicting YES at 54%
Could you clarify if this is in reference to the "Front Page" section of the digital page, or the pdf of the print front page, at the same link?
ManifoldMarkets avatar
Manifold Markets
bought Ṁ30 of NO
I took a quick look and in the past week there has only been one instance fulfilling the requirements on the 27th. Covid over!??!? (I type whilst literally hearing the coughing of Sinclair in the other room with covid)