Will Claude 3 turn out to be better than or equal to GPT-4 in perceived performance?
97
1.3kṀ5963resolved May 24
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will try it myself and decide by the end of the month.
Resolves YES if any of the Claude 3 variants perform better than or equal to the best GPT-4.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ265 | |
| 2 | Ṁ168 | |
| 3 | Ṁ129 | |
| 4 | Ṁ57 | |
| 5 | Ṁ52 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Claude 3.5 Opus have a higher Chat Arena Elo than GPT-5?
6% chance
Will I be impressed by GPT-5?
70% chance
Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?
70% chance
Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?
9% chance
Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?
12% chance
Will Mistral-Large be considered on par or better than GPT-5? (text)
4% chance
What will the aggregate improvement of GPT5 be over GPT4 in terms of metrics?
157
When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?