Will Hezbollah attack Cyprus before EOY 2025?
23
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Dec 31
9%
chance

Hezbollah has threatened to attack Cyprus: https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/18/middleeast/hezbollah-drone-video-israel-haifa-intl-latam/index.html

Resolution according to whether we have verifiable evidence of an attack.

I will not bet in this market.

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What counts as an attack?

A missile being launched into Cypriot airspace/hitting Cypriot land is what I was envisioning

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