Will Hezbollah attack Cyprus before EOY 2025? | Manifold

Will Hezbollah attack Cyprus before EOY 2025?

24

10kṀ42k

Dec 31

5%

chance

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Hezbollah has threatened to attack Cyprus: https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/18/middleeast/hezbollah-drone-video-israel-haifa-intl-latam/index.html

Resolution according to whether we have verifiable evidence of an attack.

I will not bet in this market.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Arab-Israeli Conflict

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What counts as an attack?

A missile being launched into Cypriot airspace/hitting Cypriot land is what I was envisioning

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