Will something totally cuckoo and absolutely bananas happen before 2030?
55
291
1.1K
resolved Jun 25
Resolved
YES

I won't bet. Resolves subjectively. If I stop using manifold before this market resolves then the mods can do what they wish with it.

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predicted YES

What happened that made you resolve?

@Shelvacu Seconded! Were there literal bananas?

@Shelvacu The aborted coup and maybe the Logitech game controller.

Considering betting it all on NO and becoming the Don Quixote of preventing weird things from happening in the world.

predicted YES

If absolutely nothing weird happened for seven years that would in itself be pretty cuckoo bananas, so this is a tautological market really.

@ShakedKoplewitz Interesting, it would be bananas, but hypernormality has a way of making you feel like it's the way things have always been, and always will be, so I think after 7 years of that every single one of us, including the judge, would lose the ability to recognize that anything odd was happening.


We might instead decide that peoples' response to the events of the early 20s was some sort of mass hysteria, or the beginning of a new arc of progress that we have since settled into, reigned, which we now understand well enough to call normal. (It wont be true)

Cover image wins

@PatrickDelaney Arguably the cover image is totally cuckoo and absolutely bananas.

I think quite soon we're going to look back on this market and find it eerily prescient.

I saw a car with license plate 793K05… what are the chances of that?! ;)

What was the last world event that you would have considered "totally cuckoo and absolutely bananas"?

@Duncn maybe pandemic is the most recent one

@Duncn Pandemic, (full-scale) Invasion of another country in Europe, Will Smith slapping Chris Rock at the Oscars, etc

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@EzraSchott something at least as "crazy" as Will Smith slapping Chris Rock will definitely happen

@EzraSchott one of these things is not like the other....

@Duncn The last time something totally cuckoo and absolutely bananas was captured on this very sophisticated YouTube expose: https://youtu.be/cnuxtC-trt4?t=109