Will I experience a random chimp event before 2026?
19
100Ṁ5152026
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if i am unexpectedly in the presence of one or more chimps before 2026
Update 2025-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Encounter Criteria Updates:
In-Person Requirement: Only encounters with chimpanzees in real life count; encounters in dreams, videos, games, etc., do not.
Unexpectedness: The event must be as unexpected as implied by the image; expected settings (e.g., a zoo) do not qualify.
Mind Uploading Exception: Encounters with chimpanzees after mind uploading count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI wipe out monkeys by 2030?
6% chance
Will there be an uplifted primate by 2060?
40% chance
Will the chimpanzee population be lower in 2030 than 2020?
59% chance
Will I live to see 2026?
96% chance
Will Monkey wipe out humanity before the year 2050?
4% chance
Will primates take over the Earth, á la Planet of the Apes, by 2080?
5% chance
Will I (@Bayesian) be a superforecaster before 2027?
23% chance
Will the wild population of the Chimpanzee (Pan troglodytes) become extinct by 2100?
29% chance
Will a living Miss Waldron's red colobus monkey be discovered by August 3, 2033?
59% chance
Will I wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
1% chance