Major news about Chinese human genetic engineering before 2025?
Plus
16
Ṁ1655Jan 2
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Somewhat subjective what counts as "major" so I won't bet. Does not have to be CCP-approved. The HIV thing from a few years ago would count, obviously. The main thing that affects how this resolves is whether or not the thing is (heavily, not minutely) reported in the Western press, not whether or not I think it should be.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will it be revealed that China has a secret human genetic engineering program that dates back to 2023 before 2033?
40% chance
Will Human Genetic Engineering in China create a "Hunan Being" before 2034?
36% chance
In what year will there next be a big news story about human genetic engineering in China?
Will China start a program in which the government somehow breeds humans that are raised by the state before 2050?
38% chance
Will another illegal Chinese funded biological lab be discovered in the US in 2024?
19% chance
Will any genetically modified human embryo be legally born by the end of 2025?
36% chance
Will the identities of the 2018 gene edited Chinese babies be revealed before 2030?
41% chance
Will we find out in 2024 about breakthrough Chinese AI progress? (subjective resolution)
20% chance
Will there be a credible (see details) announcement of human multiplex gene editing (≥5 genomic loci) pre 2026?
34% chance
Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?
51% chance