Will China announced a similar project to Stargate which will build out computing infrastructure for AI on a massive scale. For this to resolve YES the Chinese government needs to publicly announce the project and it needs to be of the same order of magnitude either in cost or planned capacity.
Since this might be ending up somewhat subjective I'll not participate in this market
Update 2025-23-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Regardless of funding source, if the CCP makes an announcement of a comparable project, it resolves YES.
If private companies announce a similar project and no statement or note from the CCP is made within a week, it resolves NO.
Update 2025-23-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Project Scope: The project must be a single AI moonshot. Building chips is necessary but not sufficient unless for a single project (e.g., millions of drones forming a single entity).
Order of Magnitude: Defined based on raw exchange rate, not purchasing power parity. A project costing $50 billion or more directly translated qualifies as a YES.
1,000