[Metaculus] Will China be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2025?
9
220Ṁ823
2026
5%
chance

Will China be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

The question resolves Yes if credible reports indicate a robotics company with headquarters in China has manufactured more than a thousand humanoid robots of an identical model before the end of 2025.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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