Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100? | Manifold

Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?

12

1kṀ300

2100

51%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Most cells' karyotypes (excluding neuronal cells) would have to be changeable from XX to XY or vice versa after any required amount of time, as long as it lies within the human lifespan of that time.

If only one way is achieved, the market resolves 50%.

If it is achieved only for a non-human mammal, the market resolves 20% (resp. 10%).

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Would it be safe? Probably if done correctly it should be safe. At least no more dangerous than being XXY or being on hormone replacement therapy. Though those don’t come without their side effects, people can be healthy with them.

Exists in a bleeding-edge experiment done once, or actually available for people to use?

God, I wish. Betting NO as insurance.

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Related questions

Before 2050, will it become safe and easy to change one's apparent sex at will?

By 2050, will development of biotechnology and genetic engineering render term "transgender" useless?

By 2050, will development of biotechnology and genetic engineering render term "transgender" useless?

Will we be able to edit our own genomes by 2050?

Will scientists confirm the reversal of ageing in humans through genetic editing or other technologies by the end 2045?

Will there be an FDA-approved age reversal treatment based on partial cell reprogramming by 2030?

Will any genetically modified human embryo be legally born by the end of 2025?

Will Human Genetic Engineering in China create a "Hunan Being" before 2034?

Will we be able to transition Male bodies into Female bodies by 2030?

Will there be a credible (see details) announcement of human multiplex gene editing (≥5 genomic loci) pre 2026?

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