
Will there be more than 9 Justices in the US Supreme Court on Jan 1, 2030?
10
Ṁ210Ṁ3432030
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if I see evidence that there are more than 9 Supreme Court Justices on the specified date, NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
12% chance
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
68% chance
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
76% chance
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
34% chance
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
12% chance
Will the US supreme court contain more than 9 justices before 2030?
25% chance
Will the number of seats on the Supreme Court be increased from 9 between now and 2030?
25% chance
If a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028, will the Supreme Court have more than nine justices before Jan 20, 2033?
34% chance
Will a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
11% chance
If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will the Supreme Court have more than nine justices before Jan 20, 2033?
3% chance
Sort by:
@JimHays ah, I mean the number of supreme court justices in office, not the number of justices in the physical building.
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
12% chance
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
68% chance
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
76% chance
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
34% chance
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
12% chance
Will the US supreme court contain more than 9 justices before 2030?
25% chance
Will the number of seats on the Supreme Court be increased from 9 between now and 2030?
25% chance
If a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028, will the Supreme Court have more than nine justices before Jan 20, 2033?
34% chance
Will a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
11% chance
If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will the Supreme Court have more than nine justices before Jan 20, 2033?
3% chance