Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater before 2030?
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Ṁ4632resolved Dec 12
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Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
The market will wait a few days after any qualifying earthquake for potential USGS magnitude revisions before resolving
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@themightysalmon Looking at this policy, I think I should wait a few days before resolving (given how close to the line it is)
https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/whywhen-does-usgs-update-magnitude-earthquake
@archvenison I have no stake in this market, but if I were in charge, this earthquake wouldn't count because it was in the Pacific Ocean, and I think the highest magnitude experienced by any point in California was less than 7. I could be wrong though.
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