When will Jesus Christ return (the second coming)
When will Jesus Christ return (the second coming)
12
225Ṁ4782050
69%
Never
1%
Before Jan 1 2025
8%
After Jan 2 2025 but before Jan 1 2030
7%
After Jan 2 2030 but before Jan 1 2050
15%
Will resolve to yes if on the date major religious figures and/or media outlets acknowledge that Jesus Christ has returned. Will resolve to never if there is definitive proof that Jesus Christ will never return. Genetic clones of Jesus Christ count.
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Revelation 13:3 NKJV
[3] And I saw one of his heads as if it had been mortally wounded, and his deadly wound was healed. And all the world marveled and followed the beast.
Does a superintelligence determining the genome and creating a clone of the historical Jesus of Nazareth count even if they have no mental or supernatural resemblance to the Jesus described in the biblical New Testament?
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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