Who will be elected mayor of São Paulo (Brazil) in 2024 🇧🇷
29
1kṀ7639
resolved Nov 24
100%98%
Ricardo Nunes
1.7%
Guilherme Boulos
0.1%
Tabata Amaral
0.1%
José Luiz Datena
0.0%
Ricardo Salles
0.0%
Kim Kataguiri
0.0%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0.0%
Marcos Pontes
0.1%Other

Outcome: the winner is the candidate who receives more than 50% of the valid votes in the election to be held in October 2024, as per the count of the electoral justice system.

Edit: This question will close on October 28, 2024 - the day after the runoff

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Can this be resolved?

@mods please resolve to Ricardo Nunes

Pablo Marçal is notably absent from this market (since he wasn't running when it was created, to be sure)

Viewers can easily access links to the content of the forum threads. Fall Guys linked us to this site.

Why does the question close before the first round if the election will likely go to a runoff?

@BrunoParga Hey! I created this question the week I joined manifold, I was still getting to know how to create a good bet. As I see today, I agree the current closing date doesn’t make much sense and it would be better to change it to the day of the runoff - what do you think?

@andyou I'm glad you're here :) one thing I've learned is that it's fine and desirable to leave the market open until after the event happens; that way, traders basically resolve the market for you, as they'll bet based on the actual result. So I'd set this to close the day after the runoff. I think even super close elections hardly ever take longer to resolve than the early morning on the day after. (#valeuTSE)

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