Will a federal Georgist Land Value Tax (LVT) get implemented in the US by 2029?
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2029
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Resolves YES if Land Value Tax is implemented in some form federally by 2029.

Resolves NO otherwise.

This resolves as YES only if a Federal LVT gets implemented (city, state LVTs would not qualify). The tax does not have to replace the US federal income tax. If it's unclear whether the US has implemented a LVT, I will defer to either @LarsDoucet or @ScottAlexander if they write about it.

Related to https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/is-doge-implementing-land-value-tax, but a timeframe of Trump's term.

https://x.com/ctbeiser/status/1886607459705610265

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For what it's worth, I think that there would be a serious constitutional obstacle to implementing a land value tax at the federal level and doing so would probably require a constitutional amendment. I think a Georgian land tax would probably count as a direct tax, and would thus need to be apportioned between the states. Here's a general discussion of the taxation provisions in the constitution https://constitutioncenter.org/the-constitution/articles/article-i/clauses/757

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