Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between May 3, 2025, and May 3, 2026, Donald Trump publicly refers to himself as a "king" in any form of communication, including but not limited to social media posts, speeches, interviews, or official statements. The reference must be direct and unambiguous. If no such public statement is made within the specified timeframe, the market will resolve to "No."
Background:
In February 2025, President Donald Trump referred to himself as a "king" in a social media post celebrating the cancellation of New York City's congestion pricing plan. He wrote, "CONGESTION PRICING IS DEAD. Manhattan, and all of New York, is SAVED. LONG LIVE THE KING!" The White House's official account further amplified this message by sharing an image of Trump wearing a crown. This self-referential declaration sparked significant backlash from various political figures and the public, who criticized the monarchical implication.
Given this precedent, there is a possibility that Trump may again publicly refer to himself as a "king" in the future. Traders should monitor his public communications for any such statements within the specified timeframe.
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@MachiNi Please include a source for resolution when pinging mods if possible, or in this case state if you think it should resolve NO. I can't find any evidence of Trump calling himself a king during the market period so I would resolve this NO unless you have a source for YES.
@wasabipesto see discussion below. An event qualifying for a YES resolution was posted. There was some disagreement. Since the creator has not chimed in I’m not sure what’s supposed to happen. @Stralor @Quroe thoughts?
@wasabipesto I’m fine with NO. I don’t care. I just don’t like closed markets staying in limbo forever.
https://www.instagram.com/p/DXr_HKBEVTN/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link&igsh=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==.
@ToastCPT I can't see the first one (not on insta) but the second hardly counts imo. a slip of the tongue quickly corrected is hardly a declaration
@Quroe Whitehouse account isn't Trump himself, just like TrumpWarRoom below isn't Trump, even if theyre affiliated
@Stralor I'm biased by my position. I would probably have the same opinion without it, but I won't be resolving this myself if a mod needs to so don't take my word as law
@Stralor I interpreted this as a mention market, but I'm am effectively betting on how this is interpreted.
Like, the background section in the description implied to me that we're not taking the "literally a king" approach. I dunno. I knew the criteria was contentious.
I'm trading at 1 cuil.
Looks like the creator is inactive; I've extended the resolution date.
@traders If I end up having to resolve this I'll probably only search a tiny bit and then resolve No by default. Link to sources if it happens to make sure I see them!
@creator You may wish to extend the close date to May 3, 2026, to match the time period covered by the market