Will a third party candidate be blamed in the concession speech of the 2024 US presidential race?
13
1kṀ10kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Blame" here implies being mentioned as a contributing factor to the loss. I will resolve this as true if either of the two typical party candidates includes negative mention of a third party candidate specifically or third party candidates in general during a classic concession speech. If there is no such speech, it will be resolved as false. If a third party candidate happens to blame some other third party candidate in their concession speech with the implication their candidacy cost them the White House, I will resolve as true.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ286 | |
2 | Ṁ77 | |
3 | Ṁ27 | |
4 | Ṁ11 | |
5 | Ṁ9 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a third party candidate win the 2028 USA presidential election?
2% chance
Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
5% chance
Will a third-party candidate win the US presidency by 2040?
13% chance
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?
5% chance
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
44% chance
What party will the next third party candidate to win a state in the US presidential election
Will the party that loses the 2024 USA election win in 2028?
57% chance
Will the party that wins the 2024 USA election win in 2028?
46% chance
When will we have a third party US president?
Will there a 3rd party candidate win at least one state in the US presidential election before the US adds a 51st state
24% chance