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MANIFOLD
Why is Chinese airspace so empty right now?
15
Ṁ700Ṁ350
resolved Oct 26
100%75%
Will Remain Unexplained
7%Other
1.4%
Weather Event (Typhoon etc.)
1.8%
Military Coup
3%
Covid / Pandemic Control
11%
Military Excercise
1.8%
It isn’t.

Chinese airspace is pretty empty right now and all kinds of rumours are flying around as to why. What is the real reason?

Sep 25, 2:01am: Resolve Date is Oct 9, and if no clear explanation exists, will resolve to "Will Remain Unexplained"

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When does this resolve?

@Sinclair It doesn't always work

@BTE use the embed button in the text editor toolbar

@Gigacasting How do you embed the full webpages?

@Gigacasting Yeah, I saw these, but the reasons I didn't include this option

1/ It seems established that a bunch of flights DID get cancelled.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/mass-cancellation-of-flights-across-china-reasons-unclear_4749582.html

2/ Further I'm not sure about the eyeballing analysis and explanation provided in article/images above because even the eastern/southern areas in the original image in the Market description are fairly sparse. Compare to the image I just pulled.

3/ I guess the remaining question is whether it out of the ordinary for these many flights to be cancelled - and the follow up question is "as compared to what?". i.e. pre-pandemic or during the pandemic? The official explanations so far have revolved around covid/pandemic management, so that would be the fallback answer in this case.

I want to know what @stormtk293 thinks??

80 KM long column headed into Beijing over the last two days. Very interesting...

@BTE Important to remember that in China the military is not universally loyal to the president, but rather has separate factions that are loyal to regional political leaders.

@BTE Yes sorry, this option is for a coup in general, with the military involved (not necessarily leading it)

@akhil This would be the most interesting, but the military is probably not going to lead the coup if it happens.