@AdhithyaV Exactly, he is there for Russia. Not for russians, he doesn't give a fuck about them
@AdhithyaV There is no data that supports your insight. The following can support the hypothesis that Putin can still be leader beyond 2023.
According to CNBC, since Putin has very little to none opposition, its very likely that he will win next term.
Based on Statista analysis of the approval of Putin, the percentage of approval of his government has actually raised from 5 to 8 in the last 6 month. This despite Russian's invasion to Ukraine. https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-rating-russia/
Insight Prediction still has higher odds. https://insightprediction.com/m/192967/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-through-the-end-of-2023
@MatthewSakaluk Interesting. My only hesitation is that there's been lots of Putin health rumors in the past, and most were unsubstantiated.
@MatthewSakaluk Its amazing how the press works. "General SVR" is almost a parody anonymous blogger account in telegram, the essence of which is that he allegedly received 100% information from his "sources" at the very top of the Russian elites that Putin is dying, or is preparing to use nuclear weapons, or there will be a new mobilization. By the way, according to his information Putin should have died of cancer last year.And before the message about the heart attack, he also wrote that Xi Jinpin met Putin’s double.. Its amazing that on Sky this is presented as information from a reliable source.
@AltPutin If one were to insider trade on this market, I'd have thought NO would be more profitable.
500 traders, Vlad! So much liquidity. Think of the mana!
Please forgive the self-promotion (or just delete this comment if it bothers you), but I believe this is close enough to be of interest to those who have bet on this market:
https://manifold.markets/AlexandreK/will-vladimir-putin-stop-being-pres
@firstuserhere market prices Vladimir Putin to be alive at 92% but expects him to be the leader of Russia at 96%. Quick, someone set up an arb bot over this.
This market has it at 93% by June. https://insightprediction.com/m/120503/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-russia-on-june-30th-2023
@JonathanRay Why? He isn't up for reelection until early 2024. Unless you believe he is dying, which is not impossible, it should be flat right here or probably 10 points higher.
@BTE He could have died or been couped earlier this year, but he didn't, so we should have updated the probability lower on that evidence.