Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?
25
2.2kṀ6053resolved Jul 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Within a year of announcement. June 25, 2025.
The Sohu chip is an AI ASIC developed by Etched that is claiming 20x faster transformer inference than an Nvidia H100.
https://www.etched.com/
Their announcement only had renders so I don't think they have any chips made yet and I think the performance numbers are theoretical. But they just raised $120M in funding.
I won't bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,003 | |
| 2 | Ṁ570 | |
| 3 | Ṁ263 | |
| 4 | Ṁ166 | |
| 5 | Ṁ83 |
People are also trading
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
92% chance
Will Extropic AI ship functional chips to customers by December 31st 2025?
10% chance
Will a AI-first "pin" product sell more than 1 million units by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will a AI-first "pin" product sell more than 100,000 units by the end of 2025?
17% chance
Will OpenAI design and manufacture a custom AI chip by 2030?
90% chance
US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?
53% chance
Major semiconductor shipment from Taiwan to Tier-1 AI country fails delivery by end of 2026
53% chance
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance
Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?
75% chance
Will there be an AI smartphone brought to market by 2027?
79% chance