Will Commonwealth Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
9
224
190
2025
8%
chance

Scientific breakeven, Q = 1

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 of NO

It's not very likely that they will finish construction by 2025. And they will need at least a year after that to achieve Q=1. Less than 20% chance IMO.

In 2021, the SPARC reactor was planned for completion in 2025 and with a Q = 11